Co-Director, Grantham Research
Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
Director, ESRC Centre for
Climate Change Economics and Policy
Professor, Dept. of Geography and Environment
You can download pre-publication versions of most
of my papers here, or follow the link to the journal
to read the published version. Alternatively,
e-mail me.
Current working papers
"Losing
the environment: the endowment effect and environmental discounting"
(with Frank Venmans), Centre for Climate
Change Economics and Policy Working Paper 264 and Grantham Research
Institute on Climate Change and the Environment Working Paper 233,
2016 (download)
"The risk of climate ruin" (with Nick Silver and
Oliver Bettis), Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy
Working Paper 243 and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change
and the Environment Working Paper 217, 2015 (download)
"The climate beta" (with Christian Gollier and
Louise Kessler), Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy
Working Paper 215 and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change
and the Environment Working Paper 190, 2015 (download)
"Running with the red queen: an integrated assessment of land
expansion and global biodiversity decline (with Bruno Lanz and Tim
Swanson), Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the
Environment Working Paper 167, 2014 (download)
"Ambiguity and insurance: robust capital requirements and premiums"
(with Oliver Walker), Centre for Climate
Change Economics and Policy Working Paper 115, Munich Re Programme
Technical Paper 16, and Grantham Research Institute on Climate
Change and the Environment Working Paper 97, 2012 (download)
"Domestic politics and the formation of international environmental
agreements" (with Carmen Marchiori and Alessandro Tavoni),
Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy
Working Paper 100, and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change
and the Environment Working Paper 87, 2012 (download)
"A representation result for choice under
conscious unawareness" (with Oliver Walker), Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy
Working Paper 68, Munich Re Programme Technical Paper 10, and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change
and the Environment Working Paper 59, 2011 (download)
Books
Handbook of Sustainable Development
(co-edited with Giles Atkinson, Eric Neumayer and Matthew Agarwala), Cheltenham:
Edward Elgar, 2nd edition, 2014 (link
to Elgaronline)
First edition 2007
The Political Economy of the Environment: an
Interdisciplinary Approach (co-edited with Jonathan Michie and
Christine Oughton), Abingdon: Routledge, 2011 (link
to publisher's page)
Journal articles
"Global population growth, technology and Malthusian
constraints: A quantitative growth theoretic perspective" (with Bruno Lanz and Tim
Swanson), International Economic Review, accepted(download
the working paper)
"'Climate Value at Risk' of global financial assets" (with Alex
Bowen, Philip Gradwell and Charlie Dixon), Nature Climate Change,
2016 (link to
journal)
"Weighing the costs and benefits of climate change to our children"
(with Ben Groom and Billy Pizer), The Future of Children
26(1), 133-155, 2016
"Spaces for agreement: a theory of Time-Stochastic Dominance and an
application to climate change" (with Nicoleta Anca Matei),
Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists
3(1), 85-130, 2016 (link
to journal)(download
the working paper)
"Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme
warming" (with Raphael Calel and David Stainforth), Climatic
Change, 132(1), 127-141, 2015(link
to journal) (download
paper) (download
SI)
"Adaptation to climate change and economic growth
in developing countries" (with Antony Millner), Environment
and Development Economics, 20(3), 380-406, 2015(link
to journal) (download
the working paper)
"Endogenous growth, convexity of damages and
climate risk: how Nordhaus' framework supports deep cuts in carbon
emissions" (with Nicholas Stern), Economic Journal,
125(583), 574-602, 2015(download)
"Climate change mitigation as catastrophic risk
management", Environment: Science and Policy for
Sustainable Development, 56(6), 28-36, 2014 (link
to journal)
"Benefit-cost analysis of non-marginal
climate and energy projects" (with
Cameron Hepburn), Energy Economics, 40, 61-71, 2013 (link
to journal) (download)
"Scientific ambiguity and climate policy" (with
Antony Millner and Geoffrey Heal), Environmental and Resource
Economics, 55(1), 21-46, 2013 (link
to journal)
"Vulnerability to weather disasters: the choice of coping strategies
in rural Uganda" (with Jennifer Helgeson and Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler),
Ecology and Society,
18(2), 2, 2013 (download)
reprinted in William P. Butz, Wolfgang Lutz and
Jan Sendzimir (eds.) Education and Differential Vulnerability to
Natural Disasters, Laxenburg: IIASA, 2014 (download)
"The treatment of risk and uncertainty in the US
social cost of carbon for regulatory impact analysis", Economics
e-Journal, 6, paper no. 2012-18, 2012 (download)
"Climate policy under sustainable discounted
utilitarianism" (with Geir Asheim), Journal of Environmental
Economics and Management, 63(3), 321-335, 2012 (download)
(link to
journal)
"High impact, low probability? An empirical
analysis of risk in the economics of climate change", Climatic
Change, 103(3), 519-541, 2011(download)
(link
to journal)
"Strategic appraisal of environmental risks: a
contrast between the UK's Stern Review on the Economics of Climate
Change and its Committee on Radioactive Waste Management" (with Alec
Morton), Risk Analysis, 31(1), 129-142, 2011(download)
(link
to journal)
"The equity-efficiency trade-off in environmental
policy: evidence from stated preferences" (with Giles Atkinson), Land Economics,
86(3), 423-443, 2010(download)
(link to
journal)
reprinted in Kenneth G. Willis and Guy Garrod (eds.) Valuing
Environment and Natural Resources, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar,
2012 (link
to publisher's page)
"Environmental prices, uncertainty and learning"
(with Sam Fankhauser), Oxford Review of Economic Policy,
26(2), 270-284, 2010 (download)
(link to journal)
"New frontiers in the economics of climate
change" (with David J. Maddison), Environmental and Resource
Economics, 43(3), 295-306, 2009(download)
(link
to journal)
"Siblings, not triplets: social preferences
for risk, inequality and time in discounting climate change"
(with Giles Atkinson, Jennifer Helgeson, Cameron
Hepburn and Hakon Saelen), Economics e-Journal, 3,
paper no. 2009-26, 2009 (download)
"On the timing of greenhouse gas emissions
reductions: a final rejoinder to the symposium on "The Economics
of Climate Change: The Stern Review and its Critics"" (with
Nicholas Stern), Review of Environmental Economics and Policy,
3(1), 138-140, 2009 (download)
(link to journal)
"Why economic analysis supports strong action on
climate change: a response to the Stern Review's critics" (with
Nicholas Stern), Review of Environmental Economics and Policy
2(1): 94-113, 2008(download)
(link to journal)
"Right for the right reasons: a
final rejoinder on the Stern Review" (with Dennis Anderson, Nicholas
Stern, Chris Taylor and Dimitri Zenghelis), World Economics8(2): 229-258, 2007 (download)
(link to journal)
"Some economics of 'dangerous'
climate change: reflections on the Stern Review" (with Chris Hope
and Nicola Patmore), Global Environmental Change17(3-4):
311-325, 2007 (download)
(link
to journal)
"The impacts of climate change: perspectives from the Stern
Review", TheBrown Journal of World Affairs 13(2): 173-184, 2007 (download) (link
to journal)
"Reflections on the Stern Review
(1): a robust case for strong action to reduce the risks of climate
change" (with Chris Hope, Nicholas Stern and Dimitri Zenghelis), World Economics8(1): 121-168,
2007 (download)
(link to journal)
"Corruption,
the resource curse and genuine saving" (with Eric Neumayer and Indra
de Soysa, Environment and
Development Economics 12(1): 33-53,2007 (download)
(link
to journal)
"Weak
and strong sustainability in the SEEA: concepts and measurement"
(with Eric Neumayer),
Ecological Economics
61(4): 617-626, 2007 (download)
(link
to journal)
"Public
perceptions of equity in environmental policy: traffic emissions
policy in an English urban area" (with Giles Atkinson),
Local Environment10(4):
445-459, 2005 (download)
(link
to journal)
"Genuine
savings: a critical analysis of its policy-guiding value" (with Eric
Neumayer), International Journal of Environment and Sustainable
Development3(3/4): 276-292, 2005
(download)
(link
to journal)
"Economic
growth, biodiversity loss and conservation effort" (with W. Neil
Adger), Journal of Environmental Management68(1):
23-35, 2003
(download)
(link
to journal)
Book chapters
"Locking in climate vulnerability:
where are the investment hotspots?" (with Charlie Dixon and John
Ward), in Sam Fankhauser and Tom McDermott (eds.) The Economics
of Climate Resilient Development, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar,
forthcoming
"Cost-benefit analysis", in Philipp
Pattberg and Fariborz Zelli (eds.) Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Governance
and Politics, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2015 (link
to publisher's page)
“From efficiency to
justice: utility as the informational basis of climate change
strategies, and some alternatives”, in John Dryzek, Richard B.
Norgaard and David Schlosberg (eds.) The Oxford Handbook of
Climate Change and Society, Oxford: Oxford University Press,
2011 (link
to publisher's page)
“The Stern Review”,
in Stephen H. Schneider, Michael Mastrandrea and Terry H. Root (eds.) The Encyclopedia of Climate and
Weather, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011 (link
to publisher's page)
"Environmental challenges of the twenty-first
century and the need for an interdisciplinary political economy"
(with Jonathan Michie and Christine Oughton), in Simon Dietz,
Jonathan Michie and Christine Oughton (eds.) The Political
Economy of the Environment: an Interdisciplinary Approach,
Abingdon: Routledge, 2011 (link
to publisher's page)
"Economics and the governance of sustainable
development" (with Eric Neumayer), in W. Neil Adger and Andrew
Jordan (eds.) Governing Sustainability: Essays in Honour of Tim
O'Riordan, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2009 (download)
(link
to publisher's page)
"Economics, ethics and climate change" (with
Cameron Hepburn and Nicholas Stern), in Kaushik Basu and Ravi Kanbur (ed.)
Arguments for a Better World: Essays in Honour of Amartya Sen (Volume 2:
Society, Institutions and Development), Oxford: Oxford
University Press, 2009
(download)
(link
to publisher's page)
"Introduction" (with Giles
Atkinson and Eric Neumayer), in Giles Atkinson, Simon Dietz and Eric
Neumayer (eds.) Handbook of Sustainable Development,
Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2007
(download)
"Progress in the measurement of sustainable
development" (with Giles Atkinson), in Welfare Economics and
Sustainable Development, edited by Yew-Kwang Ng and Ian Wills,
Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, developed under the
auspices of the UNESCO, Oxford: EOLSS Publishers, 2007 (download)
"A
critical appraisal of genuine savings as an indicator of
sustainability" (with Eric Neumayer), in Phil Lawn (ed.)
Sustainable Development Indicators in Ecological Economics,
Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2006 (download)
(link
to publisher's page)
reprinted in Joan Martinez-Alier
and Inge Ropke (eds.) Recent Developments in Ecological Economics,
Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008 (link
to publisher's page)
"Some
constructive comments on the Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare"
(with Eric Neumayer), in Phil Lawn (ed.) Sustainable Development
Indicators in Ecological Economics, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar,
2006 (download)
(link
to publisher's page)
Reports, media articles, etc.
"The effects of climate change on financial stability, with
particular reference to Sweden" (with Alex Bowen), Report for
Finansinspektionen (The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority),
Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment,
February 2016 (download)
"Declare robust timetable for action on subsidies" (with Jeffrey
Sachs and others), Financial Times, 13 November 2015 (also
appears in the Jakarta Post, the South China Morning Post,
Le Monde and El Pais)
"Critical minerals today and in 2030: an analysis for OECD
countries" (with Renaud Coulomb, Maria Godunova and Thomas Bligaard
Nielsen), OECD Environment Working Papers, No. 91, OECD
Publishing, Paris (download),
2015
"Non-economic losses in the context of the UNFCCC work programme on
loss and damage" (with Sam Fankhauser and Philip Gradwell),
Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change
and the Environment and Centre for Climate Change Economics and
Policy, Policy Paper, February 2014 (download)
"Carbon tax v cap-and-trade: which is better?" (with Luca Taschini
and Naomi Hicks),
Guardian's
Ultimate Climate Change FAQ, 2013 (link)
"Why do
we see unilateral action on climate change?" (with Carmen Marchiori
and Alessandro Tavoni), Vox, 5 December 2012 (link)
"Report
on Kerry Smith's keynote lecture to EAERE2012: valuing nature in
general equilibrium", EAERE Newsletter, Autumn 2012 (link;
EAERE members only)
"Why do economists describe climate change as a
'market failure'?" (with Alex Bowen and Naomi Hicks), Guardian's
Ultimate Climate Change FAQ, 2012 (link)
"Why does climate change get described as a
'stock-flow' problem?" (with Naomi Hicks), Guardian's Ultimate
Climate Change FAQ, 2012 (link)
Comments on "Climate Risks and Carbon Prices:
Revising the Social Cost of Carbon", Economics for Equity and the Environment
(E3 Network), 2011 (download)
Climate Change Scenarios: Implications for
Strategic Asset Allocation (with Danyelle Guyatt and a team from
Mercer, the Grantham Research Institute and Vivid Economics), February 2011 (link)
"Thinking through the climate change challenge"
(open letter with Robert Hahn, Alistair Ulph and others), Vox, 16
January 2011 (link)
"Adaptation in the UK: a decision-making process"
(with Nicola Ranger, Antony Millner, Sam Fankhauser, Ana Lopez and
Giovanni Ruta), Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and
the Environment and Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy,
Policy Brief, September 2010 (download)
"Still wary of Bjorn Lomborg's pronouncements on
climate change" (with Alex Bowen, Bob Ward and Dimitri
Zenghelis),
The Guardian, 2 September 2010 (link)
"Ambiguity is another reason to mitigate climate
change" (with Antony Millner and Geoffrey Heal), Vox, 1
September 2010 (link)
"A long-run target for climate policy: the Stern
Review and its critics", supporting research for the UK
Committee on Climate Change's inaugural report
Building a Low-Carbon Economy –
the UK’s Contribution to Tackling Climate Change,
2008 (download)
(link to the CCC)
Review of the Methodological Approaches Available for Setting
Carbon Budgets (with Paul Watkiss, Will Blyth, Tom Downing,
Alistair Hunt and Ken Fletcher), report to the UK Committee on
Climate Change, Oxford: Paul Watkiss Associates, 2008 (download)
(link to the CCC)
Review of DEFRA paper "The Social Cost Of
Carbon And The Shadow Price Of Carbon: What They Are And How To Use
Them In Economic Appraisal In The UK", peer review for the UK
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, 2007 (download)