Richard Bradley

Professor of Philosophy
London School of Economics
      London WC2A 2AE












I work broadly in decision theory and related fields such as formal epistemology and semantics. Much of my work is on individual decision making under uncertainty and the role of hypothetical reasoning in reaching judgements about what to do. But I am also interested in the nature of the intentional attitudes, belief and preference revision and social value and choice. I have recently begun working on the nature of chance and our attitudes to it (both as individuals and as a society). My other big project at the moment is decision making under severe uncertainty (see below). I am bringing a lot of this work together in a book entitled “Decision Theory with a Human Face”. A draft can be found here.

Work in Progress

Ellsberg’s Paradox and the Value of Chances (longer version with material on social preferences)

Learning from Others: Conditioning versus Averaging

Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability and Decision (with Casey Helgeson and Brian Hill)

What is Risk Aversion? (with H. Orri Stefánsson)

Chances, Credences and Counterfactuals

A Selection of Papers

Belief Revision Generalised: A joint characterisation of Bayes’s and Jeffrey’s rules (with Franz Dietrich and Christian List), Journal of Economic Theory (forthcoming)

Desire Expectation and Invariance (with H. Orri Stefánsson), Mind (forthcoming)

Ellsberg’s Paradox and the Value of Chances, Economics and Philosophy (forthcoming)

Counterfactual Desirability (with H. Orri Stefánsson), British Journal of Philosophy of Science (forthcoming)

How Valuable are Chances? (with H. Orri Stefánsson), Philosophy of Science 82(4): 602-625 (2015)

Aggregating Causal Judgements, Philosophy of Science 81 (2014), 491-515 (with Christian List and Franz Dietrich)

Multidimensional Semantics for Conditionals, Philosophical Review 121 (4): 539-571, 2012

Revising Incomplete Attitudes, Synthese 171 (2): 235-256, 2009

Becker's Thesis and Three Models of Preference Change, Politics, Philosophy and Economics 8: 223-242, 2009

Belief as Desire Revisited (with Christian List), Analysis, 69: 29-35, 2009

Comparing Evaluations, Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 108 (1): 85-100, 2008

Reaching a Consensus, Social Choice and Welfare 29: 609-632, 2007

The Kinematics of Belief and Desire, Synthese, 56 (3): 513-535, 2007

A Unified Bayesian Decision Theory, Theory and Decision  63:233-263, 2007

A Defence of the Ramsey Test, Mind, 116: 1-21, 2007

Taking Advantage of Difference of Opinion, Episteme, 3 (3): 141-155, 2006


Last modified June 2015
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