John Barrdear

Research Interests

My primary research interests lie in business cycle theory, political economy and growth.


Working Papers

Networks and Inflation: A learning-based microfoundation for persistent cost-push shocks (May 2012, PDF 507 kB)

Abstract:
This paper presents a model of price setting wherein firms partially inform their decisions by watching price changes by other firms across an observation network. Within a context of imperfect common knowledge and for a wide range of plausible and commonly observed network structures, idiosyncratic shocks are shown to not "wash out" in aggregate prices. These aggregate effects are also shown to be persistent despite the underlying idiosyncratic shocks being entirely transitory. The model is therefore able to explain a variety of recently documented stylised facts regarding price setting, including the observation that short-lived price changes appear to contain macroeconomic content. The paper also presents a general, readily implementable solution to Bayesian learning over an opaque social network, with the effects of network learning on aggregate expectations able to be simulated without the need to explicitly model the network.

JEL Classification: D21 (Firm Behavior), D83 (Search, Learning, and Information), E31 (Price Level; Inflation; Deflation)

Keywords: Network learning; Incomplete information; Inflation persistence; Aggregate volatility

Trade liberalisation, wage inequality and cross-occupation skill imbalances (June 2007, PDF 291 kB)

Abstract:
This paper proposes a model that, focusing on the imperfect transfer of skill across occupations, is able to explain trade or investment liberalisation-induced increases in inequality independently of technological change or capital flows. It identifies imbalances in skill across occupations as a potential source of rent-seeking behaviour and predicts that when this occurs, firms may choose to employ highly trained individuals to fill roles with both high and low education requirements.

Written as part of my M.Sc. in 2006/2007, this paper formed part of my examination for Development and Growth (EC428).