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Not to Belittle NTBs: Non-Tariff Barriers and Trade During Brexit [Slides]
with Rebecca Freeman, Marco Garofalo, Enrico Longoni, Rebecca Mari, Kalina Manova and Thomas Prayer
November 2023
These slides report on work-in-progress analysing the firm-level effects of the TCA on UK trade.

Papers

UK Trade in the Wake of Brexit [PDF]
with Rebecca Freeman, Kalina Manova and Thomas Prayer
April 2022
This paper studies how Brexit has affected UK trade with the EU.

Expecting Brexit [Paper]
with Swati Dhingra
Annual Review of Economics, 2022, 14 (1): 495-519.
This paper reviews the literature studying the economic effects of the Brexit vote during the period before the UK left the EU in 2020.

The Brexit Vote, Inflation and UK Living Standards [PDF] [Appendix]
with Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain and Dennis Novy
International Economic Review, 2022, 63 (1): 63-93.

Voting with their Money: Brexit and Outward Investment by UK Firms [PDF]
with Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain and Dennis Novy
European Economic Review, 2020, 124: 103400.

The Economic Effects of Brexit: Evidence from the Stock Market [PDF]
with Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Ahmed Usman
Fiscal Studies, 2018, 39 (4): 581-623.

UK Trade and FDI: A Post-Brexit Perspective [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Veronica Rappoport and Catherine Thomas
Papers in Regional Science, 2018, 97 (1): 9-24.

Brexit: The Economics of International Disintegration [PDF]
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2017, 31 (4): 163-184.
This paper reviews the literature on the likely economic consequences of Brexit and discusses the lessons of the Brexit vote for the future of European and global economic integration.

The Costs and Benefits of Leaving the EU: Trade Effects [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Joao Paulo Pessoa and John Van Reenen
Economic Policy, 2017, 32, 651-705.
This paper summarizes research on the economic consequences of Brexit undertaken prior to the 2016 referendum at the Centre for Economic Performance.

A Hitch-hiker's Guide to Post-Brexit Trade Negotiations: Options and Principles [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra and Gianmarco Ottaviano
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2017, 33 (suppl_1): S22-S30.

UK-EU Relations After Brexit: What is Best for the UK Economy? [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra
in Brexit Beckons: Thinking Ahead by Leading Economists, ed. Richard E. Baldwin, August 2016

Policy Briefings

Disunited Kingdom? Brexit, Trade and Scottish Independence [PDF] [Data]
with Hanwei Huang and Patrick Schneider
CEP Brexit Analysis 17, February 2021

Brexit Economics [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra
CEP Election Analysis 48, November 2019

The Economic Impact of Boris Johnson's Brexit Proposals [PDF]
with Matt Bevington, Hanwei Huang, Anand Menon, Jonathan Portes and Jill Rutter
CEP Brexit Analysis 16, October 2019

Voting with their Money: Brexit and Outward Investment by UK Firms [PDF] [Technical Appendix]
with Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain and Dennis Novy
CEP Brexit Analysis 13, February 2019

The Economic Consequences of the Brexit Deal [PDF]
with Peter Levell, Anand Menon and Jonathan Portes
CEP Brexit Analysis 12, November 2018

The Brexit Vote, Inflation and UK Living Standards [PDF] [Technical Paper]
with Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain and Dennis Novy
CEP Brexit Analysis 11, November 2017

Four Principles for the UK's Brexit Trade Negotiations [PDF]
CEP Brexit Analysis 09, October 2016

Who Bears the Pain? How the Costs of Brexit would be Distributed across Income Groups [PDF]
with Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra and John Van Reenen
CEP Brexit Analysis 07, May 2016

Economists for Brexit: A Critique [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen
CEP Brexit Analysis 06, May 2016

The UK Treasury Analysis of 'The Long-term Economic Impact of EU Membership and the Alternatives': CEP Commentary [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen
CEP Brexit Analysis 04, April 2016

The Impact of Brexit on Foreign Investment in the UK [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen
CEP Brexit Analysis 03, April 2016

The Consequences of Brexit for UK Trade and Living Standards [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen
CEP Brexit Analysis 02, March 2016

Life After Brexit: What are the UK's Options Outside the European Union? [PDF]
with Swati Dhingra
CEP Brexit Analysis 01, February 2016