| CV |
| Working Papers|
| In Progress|
| Published Papers |
| Other Publications |
| Public Econ at LSE |
Position: Associate Professor of Economics (with tenure)
Public Economics, Social Insurance, Taxation, Behavioral
Other Positions, Affiliations and Awards:
Job Opportunity: Pre-doctoral Full-time Research Assistants
- The Public Finance Group of the Economics Dept at the LSE is hiring full-time pre-doctoral research assistants. Applicants should be completing (or have completed) a Bachelor's or Masters degree and have strong quantitative and programming skills. This position is suitable for people looking to obtain experience in economic research for 1 to 2 years before applying to graduate school in economics. If you would like more information, please visit our website here.
- Job Seekers' Perceptions and Employment Prospects: Heterogeneity, Duration Dependence and Bias (with Andreas Mueller and Giorgio Topa) - Slides; NBER Digest
Abstract: This paper analyses job seekers' perceptions and their relationship to unemployment outcomes to study heterogeneity and duration-dependence in both perceived and actual job finding. Using longitudinal data from two comprehensive surveys, we document (1) that reported beliefs have strong predictive power of actual job finding, (2) that job seekers are over-optimistic in their beliefs, particularly the long-term unemployed, and (3) that job seekers do not revise their beliefs downward when remaining unemployed. We then develop a reduced-form statistical framework where we exploit the joint observation of beliefs and ex-post realizations, to disentangle heterogeneity and duration-dependence in true job finding rates while allowing for elicitation errors and systematic biases in beliefs. We find a substantial amount of heterogeneity in true job finding rates, accounting for almost all of the observed decline in job finding rates over the spell of unemployment. Moreover, job seekers' beliefs are systematically biased and under-respond to these differences in job finding rates. Finally, we show theoretically and quantify in a calibrated model of job search how biased beliefs contribute to the slow exit out of unemployment. The biases can explain more than 10 percent of the incidence of long-term unemployment.
- Designing Retirement Benefits: Theory and Evidence from Sweden (with J. Kolsrud, C. Landais and D. Reck)
- Deductible Choice in the Netherlands (with B. Handel, J. Kolstad and T. Minten)
- A Pigouvian Approach to Social Insurance Design (with N. Hendren and C. Landais) - in preparation for Annual Review of Economics
- Inferring Risk Perceptions and Preferences using Choice from Insurance Menus: Theory and Evidence (with Keith Ericson, Philipp Kircher and Amanda Starc)
Conditionally accepted at the Economic Journal
- Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets (with Ben Handel and
Review of Economics and Statistics 101(2), 326-340. May 2019.
- The Optimal Timing of Unemployment Benefits: Theory and Evidence from Sweden (with Jonas Kolsrud, Camille Landais and Peter Nilsson) - Slides;
American Economic Review 108(4-5), 985-1033. April 2018.
Demand for Insurance and Adverse Selection - (Web Appendix)
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 9(1), 308-343. February 2017.
- Rewarding Schooling Success and Perceived Returns to Education: Evidence from India (with Sandra Sequeira and Guo Xu)
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 131, 373-392. November 2016.
- Production vs. Revenue Efficiency with Limited Tax Capacity: Theory and Evidence from Pakistan (with Anne Brockmeyer, Michael Best, Henrik Kleven, and Mazhar Waseem) - Slides; VoxEU;
Journal of Political Economy 123(6), 1311-1355. December 2015.
- Revising Claims and Resisting Ultimatums in
Bargaining Games (with Frans Spinnewyn)
Review of Economic Design 19(2), 91-116. June 2015
- Unemployed but Optimistic: Optimal Insurance
Design with Biased Beliefs
Journal of the European Economic Association 13(1), 130-167. February 2015
- Delay and Deadlines: Freeriding and Information Revelation in Partnerships
(with Arthur Campbell and Florian Ederer)
American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 6(2), 163-204. May 2014
- Insurance and Perceptions: How to Screen Optimists
Economic Journal 123, 606-633. June 2013 - Awarded with Austin Robinson Memorial Prize
- Training and Search During Unemployment
Journal of Public Economics 99, 49-65. March 2013
- Capital Income Taxes with Heterogeneous Discount
Rates (with Peter
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 3(4), 52-76. November 2011
Economics (PhD, LSE course, ec534)
Economics (MSc, LSE course, ec426)
Economics (MPA, LSE course, ec410)
- "Consumption Data: New Frontiers" VoxEU (April 4, 2018) (link)
- "Unemployment Insurance and Adverse Selection" VoxEU (February 3, 2018) (link)
- "Designing Tax Policy in High-Evasion Economies" VoxEU (January 5, 2016) (link), Microeconomic Insights (April 27, 2016) (link)
- "De mythe van de hangmat" Op-ed in De Standaard (May 15, 2014) (link)
- "De ivoren toren van economen is een mythe" Op-ed in De Standaard (August 3, 2013) (link)
- "En als we langdurig werklozen meer zouden betalen?" Op-ed in De Morgen (February 12, 2012) (link)
- "The Role of Commitment" comment on "On the interaction between
subsidiarity and interpersonal solidarity" by Jacques Dreze (link)
- "Hard cash or a secure job - which is better?" featured in Financial
Times (February 7, 2009) (link)
© 2019 London School of Economics. All rights reserved. Picture by Hatim Kaghat.